Emre Yumlu 
The world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket, has received a major investment from 1789 Capital, the venture capital fund in which Donald Trump Jr. is a partner. According to reports, the investment is worth tens of millions of dollars, pushing Polymarket’s valuation above $1 billion.
Trump Jr. and Polymarket Connection
Trump Jr. joined 1789 Capital as a partner last year. Now, in addition to backing the company financially, he has also taken a seat on Polymarket’s advisory board. This move comes at a pivotal moment as the platform prepares for broader entry into the U.S. market.
Regulatory Developments in the U.S.
Currently, American users are not allowed to access this prediction market platform. However, things may soon change. Polymarket recently acquired derivatives exchange QCEX for $112 million, securing a CFTC license in the process. The company also announced that investigations by both the Department of Justice and the CFTC have been closed. These probes previously included an FBI raid on CEO Shayne Coplan’s apartment last November.
1789 Capital’s Investment Strategy
Sources say that Omeed Malik, founder of 1789 Capital, and Coplan began discussions about 18 months ago. Still, the firm waited to invest until a clearer regulatory path emerged for U.S. expansion. 1789 Capital, which already holds stakes in major companies such as SpaceX and Anduril, sees Polymarket as a strong candidate for a future IPO.
Trump Jr.’s Link to Rival Kalshi
An interesting twist is that earlier this year, Trump Jr. also took on a strategic advisory role at Kalshi, one of Polymarket’s competitors. This position, however, is a paid advisory role rather than an investment, meaning Trump Jr. currently maintains involvement with both sides of the prediction market space.
Polymarket and Kalshi both drew national attention last year when users on their platforms predicted a Trump election victory, in contrast to many traditional pollsters. This latest investment highlights the growing relevance of digital prediction markets and their potential role in the future of finance.
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