Emre Yumlu 
With rising institutional interest, ongoing ETF discussions, and increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, Bitcoin has seen its volatility surge once again. After hitting its all-time high (ATH), the market leader entered a correction phase. Recent U.S. economic data and statements from President Donald Trump have further influenced price movements, leading to renewed downward pressure on BTC.
Bitcoin Analysis
Following its ATH, Bitcoin ($BTC) began forming a downward trend and exhibited bearish structural breakdowns along the way. During this process, BTC tested the previous peak at $112,000, where it found support and bounced. However, despite this reaction, the key resistance at $116,000 has yet to be decisively reclaimed.
A 4-hour close above this level would suggest the end of the correction phase and a reclaiming of what can be considered a “safe zone.”
On lower timeframes, BTC has shown the first bullish breakouts. If it manages to stay above $114,000, the price could attempt to break the resistance at $116,000. A successful breakout here would also invalidate the descending trendline, with the next target resistance lying around $119,000.
That said, from a broader perspective, as long as BTC does not drop below the $98,000 level, there’s no strong reason to expect a significant negative shift in the overall structure. Rather than reacting to short-term fluctuations, it’s more reasonable to focus on the mid- to long-term technical setup.
USDT.d (Tether Dominance) Analysis
USDT.d is currently showing strong internal bullish momentum. After hitting resistance around 4.51%, the dominance pulled back to 4.39%. This zone is critical — a breakdown here could lead to a further drop toward the 4.25% support area.
Historically, this level played a key role in helping USDT.d gain momentum and shift structurally bullish, so a bounce from here appears likely. However, if 4.39% fails to be reclaimed, we may see a further decline toward the 4.17% zone.
*This Content Is Not Investment Advice
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