BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has published a comprehensive artificial intelligence report that paints a troubling picture for the U.S. economy while simultaneously laying out an optimistic path for crypto assets. According to the firm, rising government debt and increasing fragility within traditional markets are setting the stage for institutions to adopt alternative assets at an unprecedented pace.
U.S. Debt Projected to Surpass $38 Trillion
In its outlook for 2026, BlackRock expects U.S. federal debt to exceed $38 trillion. The report underscores that this rapid expansion of government borrowing leaves the economy vulnerable to market shocks, particularly sudden spikes in long-term bond yields driven by fiscal concerns. Warnings about U.S. Treasuries—the cornerstone of traditional finance—suggest that these instruments may no longer provide the same safety they once did.
BlackRock argues that these structural pressures on the economy will push institutions toward new strategies for managing their portfolios. Higher borrowing costs and rising policy tensions are expected to weaken the resilience of the financial system and encourage investors to explore digital assets as a hedge.
Institutional Crypto Demand Continues to Rise
Among the report’s most notable themes is the accelerating institutional shift toward cryptocurrency. BlackRock’s own Bitcoin ETF now approaches $100 billion in managed assets, signaling that crypto is steadily becoming a mainstream component of institutional portfolios.
Analysts predict that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could climb above $200,000 next year. The report frames this momentum as part of a broader transition toward tokenization, which BlackRock describes as a foundational step in the evolution of global financial markets.

Tokenization and Stablecoins Reshape Market Infrastructure
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink reiterates in the report that tokenization will define the next phase of financial innovation. The firm highlights that tokenized systems can enhance transparency, efficiency, and accessibility—especially within private credit and asset management sectors.
Stablecoins also receive significant attention. According to BlackRock executives, they are no longer niche instruments but essential connectors between traditional finance and digital liquidity, serving as a bridge in the emerging digital economy.
AI Demand Creates New Revenue Streams for Bitcoin Miners
The report further notes the rising intersection between artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency mining. With AI models requiring increasingly powerful computing infrastructure, many publicly traded mining firms are leasing excess data center capacity to AI companies. BlackRock estimates that AI-related data centers could account for up to 20 percent of total U.S. electricity consumption by 2030, hinting at a massive long-term convergence between energy, computing, and digital assets.
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