Emre Yumlu 
One of the most closely watched topics in the crypto space today is the United States’ potential creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). According to Galaxy Digital’s head of research Alex Thorn, there’s a strong chance this initiative could be announced before the year ends. Still, not everyone in the industry shares his optimism.
A “Strong Possibility” for Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
In a recent statement, Thorn suggested that the US government could officially confirm the formation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in 2025, recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic national asset.
He emphasized that markets may be underestimating the likelihood of such an announcement, pricing in far less probability than what he believes is realistic.
Signs the Plan is Moving Forward on Bitcoin
In March, President Donald Trump signed an executive order that set the framework for the creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a broader Digital Asset Stockpile. While a detailed strategic plan hasn’t been released to the public yet, several developments suggest momentum is building.
Just days ago, US lawmakers introduced a bill requiring the Treasury Department to assess the feasibility and technical considerations of implementing the reserve. Additionally, by late July, the White House’s crypto liaison confirmed that the initiative remains on the administration’s agenda, despite limited references in its recent digital asset policy updates.
Skepticism Remains
Not all experts are convinced that progress will happen so quickly. Dave Weisberger, former chairman of CoinRoutes, argued that the timeline is more likely to stretch into 2026, pointing out that the government might prefer to quietly accumulate Bitcoin to a target threshold before making any public announcements.
The Risk of Falling Behind
Among Bitcoin advocates, there is growing concern that any delay could put the US at a disadvantage compared to other nations. Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, stressed earlier this year that the US “must start” acquiring Bitcoin in 2025 to avoid being front-run by other countries:
“The risk is that nations like Pakistan could act first if the US hesitates.”
This concern isn’t unfounded. Kyrgyzstan has already advanced legislation to establish a state-backed crypto reserve, while in Indonesia, Bitcoin advocacy groups have been in talks with government officials about how such a strategy could stimulate economic growth.
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