Investor Psychology and Bitcoin’s Growth

Kiyosaki emphasized that short-term losses often cloud investors’ perception of long-term growth. Using his own Coinbase example, he explained how his portfolio showed millions in Bitcoin holdings, yet a friend only focused on temporary value drops.

He stated, “Losers are more afraid of losing than of being rich.” According to Kiyosaki, this fear limits financial freedom. He believes that emotional discipline and patience are key traits for thriving in volatile markets like crypto.

Supporters and Critics React

Kiyosaki’s comments sparked mixed reactions within the crypto community. Supporters praised his focus on long-term vision and EQ, with one X user writing:

“Winners walk away. Losers get closer. EQ always beats IQ.”

This reflects the idea that patient, psychologically aware investors can benefit from volatility.

However, critics pointed out factual errors and Kiyosaki’s history of inaccurate forecasts. One Reddit post even charted his past market predictions, showing where they diverged from actual S&P 500 performance.

Market Outlook: Bitcoin’s 2025 Potential

Analysts say Kiyosaki’s projection aligns with growing optimism among certain investor circles. Yet, volatility and regulatory uncertainty remain major factors.

Behavioral finance experts note that loss aversion and fear often outweigh logic in decision-making. Kiyosaki’s emphasis on EQ reminds investors to separate emotion from strategy—recognizing dips without reacting impulsively.

Bullet List: EQ-Driven Investing Tips for 2025

• Focus on long-term gains, not temporary losses

• Keep emotions in check during volatility

• Maintain discipline and patience under pressure

• Treat market dips as strategic opportunities

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The government and the National Bitcoin Office of El Salvador claimed an increase in Bitcoin held in official wallets. President Nayib Bukele also stated via social media that the daily purchase program continued in March. However, IMF data reveals that the increase in holdings was due to internal transfers between government wallets, not fresh Bitcoin purchases from the market. 

Additionally, the report highlights that the small Bitcoin movements in the government’s Chivo e-wallet were not from public funds but resulted from internal adjustments. 

IMF and Bitcoin Policy 

El Salvador recognized Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021. However, as of January 2025, the legal status of Bitcoin was revoked. Moreover, under pressure from international creditors, the government ceased Bitcoin acquisitions and pledged not to use public funds for such purchases. The IMF’s latest report confirms El Salvador’s adherence to these commitments. 

On the other hand, despite official and social media claims that Bitcoin buying was ongoing, significant discrepancies emerged between the reported actions and actual data. These inconsistencies raised concerns about transparency and credibility. It became evident that the apparent increase in Bitcoin holdings was merely the result of internal transfers, leaving investors and the public misinformed. 

Nevertheless, El Salvador’s Bitcoin strategy and fiscal outlook continue to draw close attention from the global economy and crypto markets. Ultimately, the IMF report highlights the government’s commitment to financial discipline and international obligations.

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106K Target Hit After Bullish Breakout

In our previous analysis, it was noted that if Bitcoin broke through the 102,961 – 101,984 USD resistance zone, a target of 105,000 USD would be next. The breakout occurred with strong buying pressure, pushing BTC up to the 106,000 USD level — surpassing the forecasted target and validating the setup.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

The current focus shifts to the next resistance range between 106,622 and 105,725 USD. If Bitcoin manages to break above this zone with volume support, the path toward 110,000 USD becomes highly likely. Sustained momentum will be critical to keep the uptrend intact.

Key Support Levels on the Downside

In the event of a pullback, the nearest strong support remains the 102,961 – 101,984 USD range. As long as BTC holds above this level, the bullish bias remains valid in the short term.

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US Vice President JD Vance took the stage and openly supported stablecoins, becoming the first vice president to do so at such an event. “I don’t think calling this just a conference is right. This is a movement,” he said. “I’m with you.” The White House now sees stablecoins not as a threat but as an opportunity. According to Vance, these digital assets will strengthen the global power of the dollar. 

“We don’t believe stablecoins threaten the integrity of the US dollar. On the contrary,” he said. “We see them as an element that amplifies our economic power.” 

Bo Hines, leader of the President’s Digital Assets Council, spoke about the new GENIUS Act legislation aimed at accelerating stablecoin infrastructure. This move is intended to ensure the US dollar’s long-term supremacy. Hines said this effort could attract trillions of dollars in foreign investment. 

Stablecoin Move: New Strength for the US Dollar 

Senator Cynthia Lummis stated that an agreement had been reached with Democrats. “This bill will be the first digital asset legislation to pass the Senate,” she said. Voting is scheduled for Monday. Meanwhile, House leaders Tom Emmer and Bryan Steil want to expedite the process, aiming to deliver the bill to former President Trump before August. 

SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce said the time for change has come. 

“For years, I complained that the commission didn’t take proactive steps to provide clarity,” said Peirce. “Now we’re finally at a point where we can do that.” 

The bill will also make it easier for stablecoin issuers to purchase US Treasury bonds. Additionally, Steil argued this would strengthen the dollar’s reserve currency status. However, Democrats tried to prevent government officials from profiting from stablecoin companies. This proposal targets the USD1 token linked to the Trump family. 

Traditional Finance vs. Crypto Race Begins 

Tether, the leader in the stablecoin sector, continues to grow. CEO Paolo Ardoino pointed to commodity trading as the next big step. They are focused on the unbanked rather than banks. “Half the world is not a niche,” he said. Their goal is to provide financial access to billions of people. 

“All traditional finance firms will create their own stablecoins and offer them to their existing customers,” he said. 

At the same time, traditional finance giants JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citi have started talks for a joint digital dollar. Their goal is to compete with Tether. The battle is now on-chain, meaning blockchain-based 

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In a recent interview, Melker pointed out that Bitcoin’s volatility has significantly declined in recent years. “It used to be about three times more volatile than the S&P 500; now it’s below twice that,” he said, emphasizing that one of the main reasons behind this is the growing interest from pension funds and ETF issuers.

Volatility Decreases as Institutional Money Flows In

According to Melker, capital entering from traditional finance makes Bitcoin not only a more stable asset but also reduces volatility as the number of long-term investors increases. “As Wall Street money flows in, volatility decreases. This opens the door to stronger and more sustainable price movements,” he said.

As of 2025, the market has already started showing strong signals. Bitcoin has surpassed $104,000, while Ethereum reclaimed the $2,600 level.

Meanwhile, the inclusion of Coinbase in the S&P 500 index is seen as a major milestone in the integration of crypto into traditional finance. Moreover, Coinbase not only entered the list but also ranked within the top 50 by market cap.

Investor Confidence Is Growing

The public listing processes of companies like Galaxy Digital and eToro also indicate that the regulatory environment under the current U.S. administration has become more favorable for investors.

Melker noted that dropped SEC lawsuits and positive executive decisions have created what he calls an “extremely bullish atmosphere” in the crypto market.

Altcoin Shift Has Begun

Although Bitcoin remains the main focus, the analyst also observed liveliness in the altcoin market. Ethereum’s recent surge triggered activity in smaller-cap coins as well. Melker argued this is a sign of new money entering the market, not just internal rotation between assets.

A Rapid Climb Wouldn’t Be a Surprise

While Melker shared the $250,000 prediction, he also mentioned that most market expectations are in the $120K to $150K range. However, he added that unexpected surges are nothing unusual in crypto:

“From the lows of 2020 to the last bull run, Bitcoin went from $3,000 to $69,000. A 2.5x increase from here wouldn’t be surprising at all.”

Similar Predictions from Other Analysts

On May 16, an analysis account named Apsk32 on platform X argued that Bitcoin has a high chance of reaching $250,000 or more in 2025.

On April 28, Peter Chung, head of research at quantitative trading firm Presto, once again stated that Bitcoin could hit $210,000 by year-end.

And on April 22, analysts from Standard Chartered and Intellectia AI projected that demand from ETFs and investors looking to hedge against macroeconomic risks could lead Bitcoin to more than double in price this year.

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“If it weren’t for the tariff situation, my price target would have been much higher,” Alden said. Still, she believes Bitcoin will close the year at a higher level than today.

Liquidity Could Be the Key Catalyst for Bitcoin

According to Alden, a strong liquidity boost in financial markets is essential for Bitcoin to reach more optimistic price targets. This scenario might be triggered by a major disruption in the U.S. bond market, prompting the Federal Reserve to implement yield curve control or initiate another round of quantitative easing (QE).

She also noted that crypto markets are more prone to volatility due to their 24/7 trading structure, unlike traditional financial markets with limited hours. “If uncertainty builds over the weekend, some investors choose to sell their Bitcoin on Sunday to prepare for Monday,” Alden explained.

Bitcoin May Decouple from Nasdaq

Alden emphasized that Bitcoin doesn’t necessarily have to move in sync with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index. In her view, events that damage Nasdaq’s profit margins but do not impact global liquidity could allow Bitcoin to chart its own course.

To illustrate, she pointed to the global market environment between 2003 and 2007, when the U.S. dollar remained weak and capital flowed into emerging markets, commodities, and gold. Alden believes a similar market cycle could once again favor Bitcoin even if U.S. equities underperform.

Strong Correlation Between Bitcoin and Global Liquidity

In a previous research report, Alden noted that Bitcoin moved in the same direction as global M2 money supply 83% of the time over any given 12-month period. The study labeled Bitcoin as the “strongest barometer of global liquidity”, outperforming assets like the S&P 500 (SPX), gold, and global equity indices (VT) in terms of correlation with liquidity.

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