After spending nearly a month trapped between $85,000 and $95,000, Bitcoin broke above the range and pulled the broader altcoin market higher with it. What stood out, however, was not the price itself, but how derivatives markets responded to the breakout. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have since pushed Bitcoin back toward the $92,000 zone, reintroducing short-term pressure.

Perpetual Positions Are Building Again

As spot price broke higher, open interest in perpetual futures climbed sharply. Across nine major tokens tracked, total open interest moved back above $8 billion, returning to levels last seen when Bitcoin rallied toward $94,000 earlier this year.

The increase coincided with higher funding rates, particularly among altcoins. Rather than staying on the sidelines, parts of the market are positioning for further upside through leverage. A sharp rise in Bybit’s Risk Appetite Index reinforces this view. Momentum is forming not in spot markets, but within derivatives.

ETF Inflows Continue to Support Spot Markets

Positioning in derivatives is not happening in isolation. Spot demand has also improved. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded $660 million in net inflows year-to-date, with $760 million entering on January 13 alone — the strongest single-day inflow since October’s historic liquidation event.

Ethereum has followed a similar path. ETH spot ETFs purchased roughly $130 million worth of ether on the same day, while Solana and XRP ETFs posted multiple consecutive days of inflows. These flows suggest the recent price move is supported by capital, not just technical momentum.

Options Markets Turn Neutral, But Remain Fragile

Despite the sharp rally, options markets have shown little reaction in implied volatility. A month of rangebound trading had already pushed volatility expectations lower. While realized volatility briefly ticked up after the breakout, it has since stabilized around 38%.

More notable is the shift in short-dated volatility smiles. The bearish put premium that dominated earlier pricing has largely faded. Short-term BTC and ETH options now trade close to a neutral skew. This pattern, however, is not new. A similar shift occurred earlier in January when Bitcoin tested $94,000. Once that level failed to hold, downside protection quickly returned.

$95,000 Remains a Psychological Pivot

Derivatives markets appear willing to support higher prices, but only conditionally. The $94,000–$96,000 zone continues to act as a trigger point for sentiment shifts in options markets. Failure to hold above this range has repeatedly pushed traders back toward downside hedging.

It is also notable that options across different maturities are trading along similar curves. Normally, short-dated contracts react more aggressively. This time, the lack of differentiation points to a market that is cautious and undecided.

Geopolitical risks and macro uncertainty remain firmly on the table. As volatility continues to drift lower, the fragility of the recent rebound becomes more apparent. Derivatives are backing the move for now, but that support could reverse quickly if price stability fades.

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Bitcoin ETFs Reach Two-Month High

The spot Bitcoin ETF segment broke a 35-trading-day silence with a powerful move. Eleven US-based ETFs recorded their strongest single-day net inflow since $524 million on November 11. Spot Ethereum ETFs followed a similar pattern, posting their largest inflow in 15 trading days, surpassing the $177.7 million recorded on December 9.

December Challenged Investors

Crypto ETFs faced a difficult December amid broader market weakness. Bitcoin and Ethereum fell 1.56% and 1.39% respectively over the past 30 days. This downtrend started after Bitcoin reached $125,100 in October, followed by a $19 billion liquidation wave. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reflected investor caution, remaining between “Fear” and “Extreme Fear”, with the index returning to 25 points on Sunday.

Institutional Investors Adjust Strategies

Tonso’s marketing lead, Wal, commented on social media about this resurgence. Many institutional investors sold Bitcoin in Q4 2025 for tax-loss harvesting, and now they are rebuilding positions. In 2025, US investors directed $31.77 billion into crypto ETFs, with Bitcoin ETFs accounting for $21.4 billion. However, this was below the $35.2 billion inflow in 2024.

Experts note that this renewed capital could help ease risk perception, but high volatility and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remaining at “Extreme Fear” still urge caution for investors.

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According to SoSoValue, the total net assets held by spot XRP ETFs exceeded $1 billion last Thursday. At the time of writing, this figure stood at around $1.18 billion. Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, highlighted that XRP ETFs have now surpassed earlier-launched Solana ETFs in total AUM, signaling stronger investor demand.

Why it matters?
This milestone shows that XRP is attracting more institutional interest than retail-focused tokens. ETFs now provide a regulated channel for wider participation, reducing historical barriers.

Institutional Demand Drives XRP ETFs

McClurg noted that Solana is more efficient to hold on-chain and stake directly, whereas XRP lacks staking but appeals to institutions. This creates stronger demand for ETF products, offering investors an easier access point. Some investors prefer holding XRP directly, while others favor regulated financial instruments.

Spot XRP ETFs have recorded uninterrupted positive net flows, totaling approximately $990.9 million. Currently, five asset managers—including Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Canary Capital—offer spot XRP ETF products. Most recently, 21Shares launched its XRP ETF, TOXR, expanding investor access further.

ETF launches mark a turning point for XRP. Regulatory uncertainty had kept XRP out of traditional investment channels for years. Spot ETFs now allow broader market participation through regulated avenues.

$10 Billion Inflow Scenario

Analysts are optimistic about continued growth. X Finance Bull noted that only five spot ETFs exist currently, with major players like BlackRock yet to enter. Weekly inflows averaging $200 million suggest a possible $10 billion cumulative inflow by 2026. At this pace, over 5 billion XRP could be locked long-term, creating potential supply pressure. Institutions buy mechanically, while retail investors react emotionally to dips.

XRP Price Lags Despite ETF Growth

Despite strong ETF inflows, XRP’s price remains subdued. Over the past month, XRP declined nearly 13%, trading at $2.00 at press time, down 0.91% in the last 24 hours.

Market commentator Xaif Crypto noted that whales continue to lead the market, actively buying XRP as prices dip. Such behavior is often seen during market bottoming phases, when large investors accumulate ahead of potential trend reversals.

Whales tend to buy during price declines, not rallies, suggesting that current accumulation could signal a future uptrend.

Overall, the rapid growth of spot XRP ETFs highlights rising institutional interest. Short-term price movements remain muted, but long-term confidence strengthens as inflows continue. Whether this translates into an actual price rally or further downside will depend on upcoming market dynamics and whale activity.

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Silver’s rapid ascent has offered a major signal that global economic pressures are intensifying. Yet some analysts argue that the move cannot be explained solely by a search for safety.

Why Is Silver Demand Rising?

Silver posted another record in Asian trading and accelerated its long-term upward trend. According to Companies Market Cap data, the metal’s total market value surpassed 3.5 trillion dollars, placing it among the strongest global assets. The Kobeissi Letter commented on the rally, stating:

“The current rally in Silver prices makes 2020 and 2008 look like a rounding error. A new era of monetary policy is coming.” This remark highlights that the move is part of a much larger structural shift rather than a short-term spike.

Physically backed silver ETFs purchased 15.3 million ounces in just four days. Trader Michael emphasized that this was not a routine wave of demand. He noted that physically backed ETFs have absorbed 15.3 million ounces in less than a week, underscoring the scale of inflows.

“Silver ETFs are now on track for their 10th straight monthly inflow. This has only happened during systemic stress events,” he said, pointing out the underlying pressure reflected in the fund movements. The SLV fund alone attracted nearly 1 billion dollars in a single week, outperforming gold-focused funds. Michael added, “The global monetary system is losing trust quietly, quickly, and from the inside out,” arguing that growing distrust is accelerating the shift toward silver.

FED Rate Decision Announced: How Did BTC and U.S. Markets React?

Bitcoin–Silver Performance Gap Widens

Bitcoin traded weakly during the same period, pulling back and increasing overall selling pressure in the market. Economist Peter Schiff stated, “Bitcoin has been losing value against silver for years,” highlighting the widening gap between the two assets. This perspective reinforces the narrative of a market leaning toward defensive positioning.

Can Bitcoin Recover After This Move?

Some analysts believe that silver’s strong momentum may eventually create room for Bitcoin to bounce. Neuner argued:

“Soon the sellers in BTC will dry up and the big catch-up trade will begin. The market is now in FULL risk-on mode and most people aren’t seeing it because Bitcoin isn’t moving! Silver is at all-time highs. It is on a breakout and climbing with acceleration. Silver is the beta gold and indicates risk-on!”

He suggested that diminishing sell pressure could trigger a powerful upward move. Expectations that the Fed’s latest policy shift may support risk assets further strengthens this view.

Silver’s historic surge shows how quickly global investor behavior is changing. Whether Bitcoin will follow this move now depends on how strongly demand recovers in the coming weeks.

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Bitcoin price quickly recovered after the weekend drop

Bitcoin had briefly slipped to 84,500 dollars during Sunday’s cascade of liquidations. However, the price erased all losses within two days and reclaimed the 92,000-dollar level, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe described the move as a healthy recovery and noted that holding above 92,000 dollars remains essential for the next breakout. He also compared the latest drop to previous cycle shakeouts and said indicators had become heavily oversold.

Bitcoin reached an intraday high of 93,040 dollars on Coinbase early Wednesday, according to TradingView. The rebound demonstrated strengthening demand as BTC recovered the full 8,000-dollar decline from the weekend flush. Meanwhile the crypto market saw rising trading volumes, suggesting increasing interest from both short-term traders and longer-term investors.

Macro optimism and ETF inflows boost expectations

Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, said he remains confident that Bitcoin will revisit six-figure territory in the coming months. He pointed to renewed expectations of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and improving macro conditions that support risk assets. At the same time rising spot Bitcoin ETF inflows continue to reinforce institutional demand, offering a strong backdrop for upward momentum. As a result the bitcoin price outlook appears more constructive heading into late 2025.

Crypto market sentiment has also improved alongside higher liquidity and strengthening participation from large investors. Although volatility remains elevated, analysts highlight that the underlying trend for BTC is still upward. This aligns with patterns seen in previous market cycles where strong rebounds preceded major price expansions.

Key support zone will determine Bitcoin’s next major move

Before the rebound, analysts highlighted the 86,000- to 88,000-dollar range as a crucial support area for bitcoin price. Market commentator Crazzyblockk noted that this zone had held more than sixty retests in recent months, making any breakdown highly significant. Trading above this region indicates reduced selling pressure and stronger conviction among active market participants.

• The 86,000–88,000 dollar zone remains the primary support level for bitcoin price.
• Losing this support could open the door to lower market targets and renewed selling.
• Holding above the zone strengthens the structure for a potential move toward 100,000 dollars.

Bitcoin was trading above 93,700 dollars at the time of writing as the crypto market maintained its recovery trend. Strengthening momentum and improving macro expectations continue to support analysts’ bullish outlook for BTC’s path toward the 100,000-dollar level.

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IBIT Breaks Records in Just 341 Days!

Since its launch, IBIT has been flooded with intense demand from institutional investors. BlackRock’s ETF reached a size of 70 billion dollars in just 341 days, making it one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history. According to current data, IBIT’s net assets are now hovering around 70.7 billion dollars.

This growth is not seen merely as a result of Bitcoin’s price movements. At the same time, it clearly shows the rising interest of banks, funds, family offices, and institutional investors in BTC.

You may also be interested in this article: The Altcoins with the Highest Buybacks in the Last 30 Days!

Bitcoin ETF Becomes the Company’s Largest Revenue Source!

São Paulo hosted a Blockchain Conference where Brazil’s Business Development Director Cristiano Castro made the following statement:

We must acknowledge that Bitcoin ETFs have become the top revenue generator within the company. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF allocations are approaching 100 billion dollars. Even for a giant managing a total of 13.4 trillion dollars, this is an unexpected surprise. “We were optimistic during the launch, but we did not expect to reach this scale,” he added.

BlackRock Holds Over 3% of the Total Bitcoin Supply

IBIT — BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF — has grown unexpectedly fast thanks to the company’s global distribution power and the strong confidence of institutional investors. The fund currently holds more than 3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Additionally, its support from international ETPs and other BTC-linked BlackRock products makes it stand out even more.

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Macro Improvement Strengthens the Market

Bitcoin climbed above the 90,000 level during the day, increasing buying appetite. Ethereum rose 3% and surpassed 3,000 dollars, forming a positive price action ahead of the December 3 Fusaka upgrade. Solana gained 4%, BNB rose 5%, while Cardano held above 0.15 dollars. XRP’s 2% increase supported the overall market recovery. The broad-based rise in altcoins strengthened confidence.

The improvement gained speed with expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates. Slowing inflation and a cooling labor market pushed the probability of a December rate cut to 85%. This environment boosted risk appetite. The movement in tech stocks carried momentum into digital assets. Investors, seeing recession risks weaken, took more aggressive positions. This behavior supported crypto and strengthened the upward setup.

The drop in weekly U.S. jobless claims to a seven-month low became one of the strongest signals shaping market direction. This decline suggested a soft landing rather than a sharp slowdown. Investors interpreted this as a reassuring sign, accelerating the shift into risk assets. This behavior directly reflected on the crypto market.

ETF Developments Boost Demand

Anticipated spot ETF processes for Ethereum, Bitcoin, XRP, DOGE, and Solana injected new energy into the market. Bitwise’s Avalanche ETF announcement strengthened the positive atmosphere. On November 26, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded four consecutive days of inflows totaling 60.82 million dollars. Bitcoin products saw 21.12 million dollars in net inflows, while Fidelity’s fund declined. XRP products recorded 21.81 million dollars in inflows. Although Solana ETFs saw an outflow of 8.1 million dollars, overall demand remained strong.

The rapid decline in Bitcoin funding rates provided an additional signal for the market. As rates stay in negative territory, the outlook becomes more positive. Negative funding shows that traders who doubt the rally are opening short positions. As price rises, this creates liquidity pressure on shorts. Since markets often move against expectations, this structure becomes a mechanism supporting the upward trend.

Kaspa rose 20%, while SPX and Flare gained 12%. Buying behavior strengthened and the upward trend spread across the market. Macro conditions, capital flows, and investor psychology worked together to support the market’s renewed recovery.

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Critical Bitcoin Support Levels Under Pressure

Bitcoin has fallen below the $100,000 level, moving closer to key support zones closely monitored by traders. The 365-day moving average, on-chain realized price bands and network valuation price are now seen as major reference points. If the price stays below these levels, selling pressure could intensify.

On-Chain Indicators Turn Bearish

According to CryptoQuant, all 10 major on-chain indicators—including MVRV, ETF inflows, stablecoin liquidity, demand growth and trader margins—are currently trending below their baseline. ETF and institutional inflows have slowed, long-term holders (LTH) continue selling and stablecoin liquidity is tightening.

Key metrics to watch include:

• 365-Day Moving Average (MA): Around $102K, major support.

• Traders’ On-chain Realized Price: Lower band at $72K, indicating short-term downside potential.

• Network Valuation Price (Metcalfe 2×): Support sits near $91K.

• Bull Score Index: Fell to 0, signaling extremely weak bullish strength.

These levels are being closely monitored to assess market momentum and possible correction risks.

Analyst Outlook: Pause, Not Panic

CryptoQuant analysts argue this decline is more likely the exhaustion phase of a prolonged bull market rather than the start of a new bear cycle. However, they warn that if Bitcoin fails to recover above the 365-day MA soon, a deeper correction could follow.

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Historic Inflows in ETFs

According to SoSoValue data, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs saw $326 million in inflows this week alone. Over the last 14 weeks, the total inflow has reached $9.8 billion.

• BlackRock’s ETHA ETF maintained its leadership with a total inflow of $9.85 billion, and its net assets stand at $12.35 billion.
• Grayscale’s ETHE ETF experienced $4.3 billion in outflows due to high management fees (2.50%), with its assets declining to $4.5 billion.
• Major funds such as Fidelity, Bitwise, and VanEck are also active in the market.

On the institutional buying side, Ethereum treasury companies stand out. SharpLink Gaming purchased 22,000 ETH this week, increasing its total holdings to $2.17 billion. BitMine and The Ether Machine hold $3.45 billion and $1.4 billion worth of ETH, respectively.

You may also be interested in: Peter Schiff: Even if Bitcoin Dominance Falls, My Preference is BTC!

DeFi and Stablecoin Dominance

The number of transactions on the Ethereum network has increased by 52% to over 47 million in the last 30 days. During the same period, transaction fees reached $48 million.
The total value locked (TVL) in the DeFi ecosystem stands at $195 billion, with bridge assets totaling $501 billion. Stablecoin supply has reached $137 billion, solidifying Ethereum’s leadership in the DeFi and stablecoin markets. With the implementation of the GENIUS Act in the United States, this dominance is expected to grow further.

Golden Cross and Inverse Head-and-Shoulders

In the three-day chart, ETH price has strongly recovered from the $1,392 low seen in April. The 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average has formed a golden cross pattern, which is generally considered an early signal of long-term bullish trends.

The chart also clearly shows an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern with a neckline at $4,090. The target measurement of the pattern, adding the $2,700 difference between the head and the neckline to the neckline level, points to a target price of $6,800. This target represents approximately a 68% potential increase from current levels.

For the latest cryptocurrency news, click here

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Robust Inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum Funds 

On August 6, 2025, spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw strong demand, reflecting market participants’ confidence in these assets. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $92 million, while Ethereum ETFs attracted $46 million. These figures confirm the growing interest of investors in digital assets. Notably, products from major fund managers such as BlackRock and Grayscale stood out, solidifying their leadership in the sector. 

Highlights and Market Impact of Bitcoin ETFs 

Bitcoin ETFs experienced a total net inflow of $92 million on August 6, supporting the positive market sentiment. BlackRock’s IBIT fund led the inflows with $41.93 million, making it the most preferred ETF among investors. Grayscale’s GBTC followed with $14.5 million, and Fidelity’s FBTC recorded $10.68 million net inflows. These funds are enhancing market diversity. 

Meanwhile, Grayscale’s BTC fund saw no net inflows, but this did not affect the overall trend. The total assets under management for Bitcoin ETFs reached $148.50 billion, representing 6.46% of Bitcoin’s market capitalization. This increase is clear evidence of growing institutional interest. Additionally, daily trading volume for these ETFs hit $2.39 billion, indicating active market participation. 

Strong Demand Shifts to Ethereum ETFs 

Ethereum ETFs also delivered solid performance, attracting a total net inflow of $46 million. BlackRock’s ETHA fund led with $33.39 million, followed by Grayscale’s ETHE with $10.04 million. Grayscale’s ETH fund added $3.67 million net inflows. This reinforces investor confidence in Ethereum. Fidelity’s FETH fund saw no net inflows, but this minor detail does not change the overall upward trend. 

Total net assets for Ethereum ETFs increased to $20.61 billion, accounting for 4.70% of Ethereum’s market capitalization. Daily trading volume reached $995.63 million, highlighting Ethereum’s rising popularity as an investment vehicle. All these developments point to digital assets strengthening their position in the financial world. 

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