It is still early to see concrete impacts of AI on the labor market, but the report will be closely monitored for weak job growth or unexpected job losses.

Market-Moving Events on Friday

Besides today’s payroll data, speeches from Federal Reserve officials Daly, Paulson, Collins, and Hammack will be key for markets. Rising bond yields are pressuring Fed rate cut expectations, while risk assets are recovering from movements in oil prices. Bitcoin and global equities have stabilized after the early-week sell-off triggered by the US-Israel-Iran tensions.

Bonds remain cautious; rising yields are bringing inflation concerns back into focus. Strong economic data from the US and ongoing energy-driven price shocks are keeping investors on edge.

Bitcoin and Equities

Bitcoin traded above $70,000 on Friday, gaining roughly 10% since the start of the week. Prices had dropped to around $65,000 over the weekend due to US-Israel-Iran tensions, then briefly climbed to $74,000 on Wednesday.

S&P 500 futures also rebounded; contracts that fell to 6,718 on Tuesday have climbed to about 6,840 at the time of writing.

Oil and Geopolitical Risks

Reports that Iran blocked oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz triggered initial risk-off moves. The US quickly responded, providing escort for tankers and political risk coverage, bringing short-term stability to markets. Brent crude is trading around $85.47.

The bond market remains cautious. According to CME Fed Funds futures, investors now see less than a 50% chance of the Fed cutting rates twice by 25 basis points this year, down from around 80% before the conflict. Attention is now on today’s job data and wage growth figures.

Labor Data and Fed Expectations

Last month, US labor data exceeded expectations: 130,000 new jobs were created in January, unemployment dropped to 4.3%, and average hourly earnings rose 0.4%. Expectations for February are more moderate, suggesting a return to the “low hiring, low firing” pattern seen over the past year.

Jerome Powell’s April meeting will be particularly critical for Fed policy. Higher-than-expected employment or wage growth could weaken rate cut expectations and trigger new market volatility.

Market Notes and Micro Data

• BTC: $70,642 (approx. 10% gain since start of week)
• S&P 500 Futures: 6,840
• Bond yields: rising, Fed cut expectations decreasing
• Oil: brief spike after Hormuz Strait news, now stable

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The first response was not panic selling. It was hesitation.

This distinction matters. Because when macro risk rises but price does not break, it reveals something deeper about market positioning.

Initial Price Reaction After Tariff Announcement

The Trump administration moved forward with the tariff decision using an alternative legal framework after its previous emergency economic authority was limited by the Supreme Court of the United States. The new tariffs were implemented under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974. This structure places certain limitations on scope and duration.

The market understood that detail quickly. Bitcoin continued to trade within the $68,000 range following the announcement. There was no sharp downside break. At the same time, no aggressive upside expansion appeared either. Price compressed and held its equilibrium zone.

Sometimes, this kind of non-reaction reflects weakness. Other times, it suggests the market was already positioned defensively.

Recent price behavior shows that $68,000 has become a short-term balance level. The area has functioned as both support and stabilization over recent sessions.

The key observation is simple: macro pressure increased, but this level held.

In previous macro shocks, Bitcoin reacted much faster. That reflex is missing now. This opens two possibilities. Positioning may already be lighter. Or participants may be waiting for clearer signals before committing capital.

For now, direction remains unresolved. Ethereum reflected a similar structure. Price held near $1,977 without triggering a cascade of liquidations. This suggests excessive leverage may have already been reduced in recent weeks.

The broader altcoin market also remained relatively stable. The Total3 index, which tracks crypto market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined less than 1%. Total valuation held near $713 billion.

That restraint matters.

Because historically, altcoins showed much greater fragility during macro-driven risk events. This time, selling pressure remained limited. The market appears cautious, not broken.

Macro Risk Is Rising, But Panic Is Absent

Tariffs often trigger cascading macro effects. Inflation expectations shift. Currency strength adjusts. Liquidity assumptions change. Risk assets usually respond quickly.

But that pattern has not fully emerged here.

Derivatives data shows declining trading volume across several platforms. Open interest remains largely flat. Traders are not aggressively expanding exposure.

The market is watching. Not reacting.

This phase often precedes larger directional moves. Quiet periods rarely last forever.

Critical Level Holds, But Balance May Not Last

The $68,000 region continues to serve as a key technical zone. Its stability reflects a market that has not yet lost structural balance.

However, equilibrium zones rarely persist indefinitely. Price typically resolves in one direction or the other. Extended sideways compression tends to precede expansion.

Especially when macro uncertainty remains elevated.

Market Data Signals Ongoing Repositioning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin continues trading between $67,800 and $68,200. Volatility remained subdued during both Asian and European sessions. Funding rates across derivatives markets hovered near neutral.

This pattern reflects consolidation, not resolution. The next decisive move will likely define the medium-term trend.

Technical Structure Highlights Key Resistance at $72,000

After rebounding from $60,000, BTC attempted to reclaim the $72,000 level but failed to hold above it. Price retraced toward the $65,000 area. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin continues to hold its intermediate support zone.

However, repeated tests of support can weaken structural integrity over time.

The $72,000 level now stands as the key resistance barrier. A confirmed break and sustained hold above that region could reduce selling pressure significantly. Technical projections suggest that such a breakout may open a path toward the $86,700–$89,950 range.

Until then, broader trend uncertainty remains intact.

Market Holds Structural Support Despite Tariff Shock

The fact that Bitcoin remained near $68,000 following the tariff announcement signals underlying structural stability. Despite rising macroeconomic pressure, price has not entered disorderly decline.

Liquidity conditions and macroeconomic developments will likely determine the next directional phase.

For now, the market remains in transition. And these transition phases often prove decisive.

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The main challenge is not only technical resistance but also uncertainty among major holder groups. Whales are selling, then buying back, and long-term holders, after months of accumulation, are slowing their buying. This lack of alignment keeps Ethereum in a narrow trading range.

Whales Sell and Buy Back

Addresses holding between 100,000 and 1 million ETH sold approximately 1.3 million ETH between February 9 and February 12, roughly $2.7 billion in value. Yet, within the following 48 hours, the same addresses repurchased about 1.25 million ETH, around $2.6 billion.

This rapid back-and-forth creates liquidity without directional bias. As a result, Ethereum remains range-bound rather than trending decisively higher or lower.

Long-Term Holders Ease Off

Long-term holder metrics show that accumulation trends since December 2025 have slowed. In early February, long-term holders began modest distribution. This selling is not aggressive, but it signals reduced conviction.

Combined with mixed whale activity, bullish momentum is limited. Ethereum needs clear accumulation from these groups to push above major resistance levels.

ETH Price Stuck Near $2,000

Ethereum trades at $2,087, holding above the $2,000 threshold. The next significant resistance is $2,241. Without decisive bullish signals, consolidation is the most likely scenario. Ethereum may hover near $2,000 while defending support around $1,902. Sideways movement could continue until stronger directional conviction emerges.

Technical Outlook

Short-term, Ethereum avoided a new low, absorbed liquidity, and produced a breakout structure. The first upside target is $2,149. If price retraces to the $1,959 demand zone, reactive buying is likely. Should Ethereum reclaim $2,149 decisively, the next technical target could reach $3,050.

Currently, Ethereum remains above $2,000. Charts move, on-chain data whispers, but the market has yet to show strong conviction.

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One of the largest market makers in the sector, as estimated, normally aims to stabilize prices and profit from small movements through grid strategies. However, according to claims, this time some of the system’s orders reacted unexpectedly for a short period.

Ethereum Plummeted Instantly: Bots in Panic

Although not officially confirmed, it is being discussed that an automated buy-sell strategy used by one of the sector’s major players went out of control, causing prices to collapse.

Observers suggest the potential chain reaction unfolded as follows:

• Bot A sent an order.

• Bot B reacted quickly and created additional orders.

• Bot C stepped in, possibly triggering a stop-loss chain.

A trader reportedly said:

“The price dropped, got stuck, and then bounced back quickly. It wasn’t a normal sell-off; it was entirely a system-triggered chain reaction.”

Some exchanges may have experienced temporary gaps in order books, possibly triggering other systems, causing the price to fluctuate within minutes.

JUST IN: Ethereum is experiencing abnormal price swings due to a malfunction in a market maker’s grid trading strategy. pic.twitter.com/pXusXiZTGY

— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) February 7, 2026

Market Maker’s Silence Sparks Panic

Allegedly, the relevant market maker has yet to release an official statement. Some technical observers say the incident may have been linked to a single algorithm component and that the system might have stabilized quickly.

Analysts note that such mini-chaos events highlight the fragility of crypto markets. Even a minor technical deviation can create a chain reaction, potentially triggering short-term panic in markets dominated by algorithmic trading.

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Ethereum Price Under Sustained Pressure

Ethereum has struggled to maintain momentum in recent weeks. Over the past seven days, ETH has fallen by more than 10%, wiping out all gains recorded earlier in the year. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading near $2,913, marking a year-to-date decline of roughly 5%.

This price weakness has unfolded amid broader market uncertainty, creating conditions where whale decisions carry increased influence over short-term price dynamics.

Accumulation Signals From Large Holders

On-chain data indicates that several large investors are treating the recent pullback as a buying opportunity. One notable OTC-linked wallet, identified as 0xFB7, acquired 20,000 ETH in a single move, representing an investment of approximately $56 million. Over the past five days, the same address has accumulated a total of 70,013 ETH, worth more than $200 million.

This accumulation trend extends beyond a single wallet. Recently, whales collectively added over 350,000 ETH in just one day. At the same time, Ethereum balances held on centralized exchanges continue to decline, suggesting that a portion of this supply is being moved into long-term storage rather than positioned for immediate sale.

Rotation and Distribution Add Complexity

While accumulation remains evident, not all whale activity supports a bullish narrative. Some large investors are actively reshaping their portfolios. The DeFi project World Liberty Financial shifted part of its exposure from Bitcoin to Ethereum, swapping 93.77 WBTC for 2,868 ETH. Another whale followed a similar rotation, selling 120 BTC to acquire 3,623 ETH.

Conversely, an early Ethereum holder reactivated after nearly nine years of inactivity, transferring 50,000 ETH to the Gemini exchange. Although the wallet still retains 85,000 ETH, such a large exchange deposit often raises concerns about potential profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing.

Network Fundamentals Remain Strong

Despite mixed whale behavior and price consolidation, Ethereum’s network metrics paint a more constructive picture. The seven-day average of active Ethereum addresses has reached a record high of 718,000. This divergence between stagnant price action and rising network participation has historically preceded upward price movements.

Growth in Layer-2 usage, ongoing DeFi activity, and expanding user engagement continue to reinforce Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals. While whale activity remains divided, the underlying network data suggests that Ethereum’s broader value proposition remains intact.

This content is not investment advice. Cryptocurrencies involve significant risk, and investment decisions should be based on individual research.

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As part of this initiative, the Foundation has established a dedicated team focused exclusively on post-quantum research and implementation.

Ethereum Foundation Forms New Post-Quantum Focused Team

The newly formed Post-Quantum team is led by Thomas Coratger, a cryptographic engineer at the Ethereum Foundation. The group will concentrate on developing cryptographic systems designed to withstand potential attacks from advanced quantum computers.

According to Ethereum researcher Justin Drake, this move represents a strategic turning point. While post-quantum research has been underway behind the scenes for years, the Foundation is now accelerating timelines and shifting into active execution. This reflects a broader understanding that quantum-resistant infrastructure must be developed well before quantum threats become practical.

At the technical core of this strategy lies leanVM, a highly specialized and minimal zero-knowledge virtual machine. LeanVM is expected to serve as a foundational component for Ethereum’s post-quantum architecture, particularly in areas related to cryptographic verification and efficiency.

Developer Sessions and Targeted Funding

Ethereum’s post-quantum push extends beyond research into hands-on ecosystem development. Starting next month, biweekly developer sessions will focus specifically on post-quantum transaction design. These sessions will be led by Ethereum researcher Antonio Sanso and will emphasize user-facing security solutions.

Key discussion areas include protocol-level cryptographic tools, account abstraction pathways, and longer-term plans for aggregating transaction signatures through leanVM. The goal is to ensure that post-quantum protections are not only theoretically sound but also practical and accessible.

To support this effort, the Ethereum Foundation has committed $2 million in new funding. This includes a $1 million Poseidon Prize, aimed at strengthening the Poseidon hash function, and a separate $1 million Proximity Prize, designed to encourage innovation in post-quantum cryptography.

Growing Industry Awareness

Interest in quantum risk is expanding across the broader crypto industry. Recently, Coinbase announced the formation of an independent advisory board to assess how advances in quantum computing could affect blockchain security. The board, composed of experts from academia and industry, is expected to publish its first findings in early 2027.

Meanwhile, the Ethereum Foundation plans to host a dedicated post-quantum event later this year, followed by a focused session ahead of EthCC. Educational initiatives targeting developers and enterprises are also underway, underscoring Ethereum’s intent to lead the ecosystem into a quantum-secure future.

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New All-Time High in Daily Transactions

Ethereum processed 2,885,524 transactions in a single day on Friday, setting a new record for daily activity. This milestone reflects a clear acceleration in network usage that has been building since mid-December. After a prolonged slowdown throughout much of 2025, transaction volumes began to recover toward the end of the year and have continued climbing into early 2026.

Importantly, this increase does not appear to be a one-off spike. Instead, it suggests a broader shift back toward higher baseline activity levels across the Ethereum ecosystem, driven by applications, users, and infrastructure returning to sustained growth.

Network Load Rising Without Fee Pressure

One of the most notable aspects of this surge is what has not happened. Despite record transaction counts, average gas fees remain close to recent lows. In previous market cycles, similar increases in usage often resulted in sharp fee spikes and network congestion.

This time, Ethereum appears better equipped to handle demand. Ongoing protocol upgrades, combined with the growing role of layer-2 networks, have significantly reduced pressure on the main chain. While overall activity is rising, a meaningful portion of that load is being distributed more efficiently across the broader Ethereum scaling stack.

Staking Queues Signal Stability, Not Stress

Alongside higher transaction activity, Ethereum’s staking mechanics are showing signs of balance rather than strain. The validator exit queue has dropped to zero, meaning stakers can withdraw ETH without delay. At the same time, entry queues remain extended, indicating continued interest in staking without a rush to exit.

This combination points to a stable staking environment. There is no evidence of panic withdrawals or speculative lockups. Instead, participation appears steady, suggesting confidence in the network’s long-term fundamentals.

What This Means for Ethereum Narrative

Taken together, record transaction throughput, low fees, and stable staking conditions suggest Ethereum is maturing as a network. It is increasingly capable of supporting heavy usage without the bottlenecks that once defined periods of high demand.

For users, this translates into a smoother experience. For the broader market, it subtly challenges the long-standing assumption that higher usage must inevitably lead to fee spikes and reduced supply pressure. Ethereum’s current performance suggests a more nuanced reality is taking shape.

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ETHZilla’s Latest Ethereum Sale

Ethereum treasury firm ETHZilla has confirmed another significant ETH sale, marking its second major transaction since October. The company sold a total of 24,291 ETH, generating approximately $75 million in proceeds. According to official statements, the majority of the funds will be allocated toward servicing outstanding debt obligations.

This move suggests a calculated effort to strengthen the balance sheet rather than an abrupt exit from crypto exposure. Still, the size and timing of the sale have fueled broader discussions around ETHZilla’s long-term direction.

From Biotechnology to Crypto Treasury

ETHZilla’s corporate journey is far from conventional. The company originally operated as 180 Life Sciences, a biotechnology firm listed on Nasdaq. Over time, management pivoted toward a crypto-centric strategy, rebranding the firm as ETHZilla and adopting an Ethereum-based treasury model.

With notable backers, including Peter Thiel, the company aimed to create shareholder value by accumulating and holding ETH. However, prolonged market weakness and limited upside from this approach appear to have challenged those expectations.

Not the First ETH Sale

This is not ETHZilla’s first reduction in Ethereum holdings. In October, the company sold roughly $40 million worth of ETH, using the proceeds for share buybacks. Despite the latest sale, ETHZilla still holds 69,802 ETH, indicating that the firm has not fully abandoned its crypto position but is clearly reducing exposure.

The pattern points to a gradual recalibration rather than a complete withdrawal.

ETHZilla’s ETH Treasury Strategy Takes a Back Seat

More notably, ETHZilla has signaled a broader strategic shift. Management stated that future company valuation will no longer be driven primarily by the amount of cryptocurrency held on the balance sheet. Instead, the focus will move toward tokenized real-world assets and the cash flows they generate.

Planned areas of concentration include tokenization of automobile and prefabricated housing loans, as well as aviation-related equipment financing.

Stock Performance Adds Pressure

Underlying these changes is a sharp decline in ETHZilla’s share price. After peaking above $130 in August, the stock now trades near $6. This dramatic drop helps explain the urgency behind restructuring both financial priorities and long-term strategy.

Going forward, ETHZilla’s success may depend less on crypto market cycles and more on its ability to execute within emerging real-world asset tokenization models.

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Ethereum price outlook strengthens

According to Santiment, stablecoin yields currently average between 3.9% and 4.5%. These relatively low returns suggest that risk appetite has not reached extreme levels across the crypto market. Historically, a sharp rise in stablecoin yields indicates a surge in speculative leverage, often appearing just before major market tops.

Santiment notes that today’s subdued yield environment leaves room for ETH to climb higher. Ether could gain roughly 6.7% from recent levels and retest the key $3,200 resistance zone. This scenario aligns with the recent decline in volatility and the easing of selling pressure seen across major exchanges. The combination of reduced leverage and improving liquidity supports a potential short-term recovery.

Technical indicators point to early ETH recovery

Ether fell 21.32% over the past 30 days, reflecting the broader market correction triggered after the sharp $19 billion liquidation event in early October. Despite the pullback, technical momentum is beginning to turn positive. Analyst Matthew Hyland highlighted that the ETH-BTC weekly chart is approaching a “bullish ribbon flip” for the first time since 2020, a pattern that historically signals relative strength for Ethereum.

Spot Ether ETFs also reversed their outflow trend this week. After three weeks of heavy withdrawals, ETFs recorded $312.6 million in net inflows. Growing institutional exposure is strengthening medium-term sentiment and adds weight to the bullish Ether price outlook. Combined with declining derivatives imbalance, these factors position ETH for a more sustained recovery attempt.

Market sentiment is slowly stabilizing

The broader crypto market is showing the first signs of sentiment recovery. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index spent 18 days in extreme fear during November before climbing back into the fear zone. This shift suggests that investor mood is stabilizing after weeks of pressure. Meanwhile, historical data from CoinGlass shows that December has delivered an average 6.85% return for ETH since 2013.

However, Bitcoin’s underperformance in typically strong months such as October and November raises questions about the reliability of seasonality this year. Even so, easing macro pressure, improving flows and low speculative leverage continue to support an upward Ether price outlook.

Key factors strengthening the short-term bullish view include:

• Low stablecoin yields supporting a healthier Ether price outlook
• Renewed ETF inflows signaling stronger institutional confidence
• A potential ETH-BTC bullish technical shift on the weekly chart

Together, these indicators point to a rising likelihood that ETH could revisit the $3,200 mark in the near term.

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Bitcoin Hits $89K as Market-Wide Panic Spreads

Bitcoin fell 6% during Asian trading hours, reaching $89,000. Historical patterns suggest that BTC could potentially correct down to its realized price of $55,000. The selling pressure extended to major altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, BNB, Solana, and Cardano. Ethereum dropped 16% over the week to $2,948, its lowest in five months. Popular tokens such as DOGE, SOL, ADA, and XRP saw losses ranging from 5% to 9%, reflecting the broader market downturn.

Over $1 Billion Liquidated Across Exchanges

According to Coinglass, more than 180,000 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with total liquidations surpassing $1 billion. The largest single position liquidated was a $96,480 BTCUSD long on Hyperliquid. Trend altcoins like Zcash and Telcoin fell over 10%. The total crypto market cap dropped 1.2 trillion dollars in just over a month, now standing at $3.08 trillion.

Fear & Greed Index fell to 11, signaling extreme market caution. Some investors, however, began buying the dip, seizing opportunities amid the sharp decline. The majority of liquidations came from long positions, with approximately $720 million in longs liquidated and $280 million in shorts.

ETF Outflows Add to Selling Pressure

Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs continue to see net outflows. Farside Investors data shows $254.6 million withdrawn from Bitcoin ETFs in a single day, including $145.6 million from BlackRock IBIT and $34.5 million from Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust. CoinShares reports highlight outflows in BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL funds. Meanwhile, Solana ETFs saw limited inflows, and Ethereum ETFs recorded $182.7 million in net outflows over five consecutive days. Grayscale ETH products saw minor inflows, reflecting some dip-buying sentiment after a 39% drop from ATH. Overall, the market trend shows that ETF investors are not providing significant support during this crypto market decline.

Exchange Breakdown: Liquidation Rates

Liquidation data reveals differences across exchanges. Hyperliquid led with $35.20 million in liquidations, 96.48% of which were long positions. Bybit saw $22.13 million liquidated, with 87.42% longs. Binance experienced $12.33 million in liquidations with a more balanced long-short ratio. OKX recorded $8.26 million in liquidations, with shorts comprising 52.67%. This indicates that leveraged long positions were most affected by the current market downturn.

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