Historical Hope Amid Weak Market Conditions

Only about 5% of altcoins listed on Binance are trading above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (200-day SMA), meaning 95% are still below that long-term trend line — a sign of broad weakness across altcoins.

However, historical cycles offer a different perspective. Over the past two years, this ratio has typically remained below 15% for no more than five months before recovering. Similar structures formed from June–October 2024 and again from February–June 2025. The current downtrend began last October and has now reached the end of its fifth month. This development suggests that many altcoins have fallen to potentially attractive price levels and may attract renewed demand.

Meanwhile, analysts have spotted early positive signals on the OTHERS/BTC chart (which measures total altcoin market capitalization excluding Bitcoin). On the monthly timeframe, the MACD indicator crossed above its signal line and produced its first green histogram bar since early 2024 — similar to formations that appeared ahead of major altcoin rallies in 2017 and 2020.

Analyst Blade notes that momentum shifts combined with structural compression often precede expansion. This technical setup strengthens the possibility of altcoins posting gains in March.

Altcoin Market Structure and Supply Dynamics

In February, the total market capitalization of altcoins (TOTAL2) remained under $1 trillion, and overall market sentiment hit multi-year lows. Selling pressure on altcoins (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached levels not seen over the past five years. Over the past 13 months, the cumulative net flow from altcoin buying and selling reached -$209 billion; in January 2025, this figure was nearly flat, indicating a balanced supply-demand picture at the time. Since then, the decline has continued without meaningful recovery.

The expansion of the altcoin ecosystem is also significant: five years ago, there were roughly 430,000 listed coins, compared with 31.8 million today — nearly a 70‑fold increase. However, rising supply amid weak demand has exerted downward pressure on most altcoins.

Capital Still Concentrated in Bitcoin

A broader view of trading volumes shows that on centralized exchanges (CEXs), altcoin volume relative to Bitcoin volume has dropped to the lowest level in a year. In 2025, this ratio peaked near 3.5 before falling below 2.5 by late last year and stabilizing around 2.2 in early 2026. This trend highlights ongoing investor preference for Bitcoin at the expense of altcoins.

For a true altcoin season to begin, fresh capital would need to enter the market and rotate from Bitcoin into a broader range of altcoins.

As of writing, the Altcoin Season Index stands at 43 — well below the 75 threshold typically regarded as confirmation of a real altcoin season. Divergences between technical indicators and market sentiment often occur just before major trend shifts. Whether this balance will change in March remains to be seen.

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The post Could Altcoin Season Start in March? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Oil Prices Surge: Inflation Concerns Mount 

News of the strikes quickly pushed crude oil prices up. WTI crude oil prices jumped over 13%, reaching $77 per barrel. Brent crude, meanwhile, traded between $74 and $77. Investors adjusted their positions against the possibility of Iran disrupting regional oil supply, creating upward pressure on energy prices. JPMorgan analysts warn that if war risks persist, oil prices could climb to $120. This potential increase could reignite energy-driven inflation pressures in many countries, especially the U.S. 

Gold Breaks Records 

Investors flocked to gold in search of safety. Spot gold gained $24 per ounce in early Asian trading, climbing above $3,410. This brought it to its highest levels in recent years. Gold’s sharp rally clearly indicates investors are turning to safe havens in uncertain times. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to fluctuate based on global risk appetite and Fed policies. Furthermore, a weakening dollar acts as a positive catalyst for XAUUSD. In summary, with the intensification of conflicts in the Middle East, XAUUSD crossed the critical threshold of $2,000, entering a lasting upward trend. Since the conflict began, gold has been investors’ top choice for hedging against uncertainty and risk. Every new tension headline creates upward pressure on gold prices. 

Bitcoin Loses Value: Digital Gold Debate Reignites 

In contrast to gold’s sharp rise, Bitcoin’s price fell below $104,500. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff called this “proof that Bitcoin is not digital gold.” According to Schiff, Bitcoin can’t gain value against gold and is trading more than 15% below its November 2021 peak. 

Peter Schiff: “In response to Israel’s airstrike on Iran, the market pushed gold up another $24 in early Asian trading, reaching over $3,410. Bitcoin, on the other hand, fell below $104,500. Bitcoin priced in gold is now more than 15% below its November 2021 peak. Bitcoin’s inability to rise against gold is strong evidence that the bubble has topped.” 

U.S. Economy: Inflation and Fed’s Rate Decision Under Scrutiny 

Rising oil prices mean inflationary pressures for the U.S. economy. JPMorgan stated that increasing energy costs could push U.S. CPI data up to 5%. This implies the Fed might delay its planned interest rate cuts. Therefore, investors are closely monitoring developments in the Middle East and the U.S. inflation data to be released this week. 

Upcoming data and regional developments will determine market direction in the coming days. 

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The post Gold and Oil Soar: Iran Crisis Shakes Markets  appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Ethereum remains strong despite the recent price drop. Analysts believe ETH is heading toward the $4,000 level. Even if the price dips in the short term, investors are turning this period into an opportunity. Michael van de Poppe identifies the $2,400 zone as a “buy the dip” region. This area could lay the groundwork for a new rally.  

$ETH goes towards the 'buy the dip' range.

Sub $2,400 is the area where you'd want to accumulate before the next run towards $4,000. pic.twitter.com/y56cKttUHY

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 19, 2025

Ethereum delivered a 57.2% return last month. This performance indicates that the bullish trend remains robust. Titan of Crypto, based on Ichimoku analysis, argues that ETH maintains its bullish trend. “As long as the Kijun level holds, Ethereum will keep moving forward,” they say.  

Investors are developing strategies to capitalize on this period. Many are accumulating ETH at levels below $2,400. This movement reflects continued positive expectations in the broader market.  

What Are Whales Doing? Big Investors Are Accumulating ETH  

ETH whales have been making notable moves in recent days. Crypto Rover notes that investors holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH are heavily accumulating. These large investors see dips as opportunities. On-chain data also reveals conflicting behaviors among ETH largest holders. While some whales are actively accumulating, others have chosen to close their positions at current levels.  

Ethereum whales holding between 10K and 100K $ETH are accumulating heavily.

I’m following the smart money on this one! pic.twitter.com/XHak17Luq3

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) May 19, 2025

Analytics platform Lookonchain reported, “An ETH whale capitulated a few hours ago and sold 7,000 ETH ($16.88 million) at a loss.” This whale had previously withdrawn 13,479 ETH ($48.82 million) from Binance between December 5, 2024, and January 13, 2025, when Ethereum prices were higher. They currently hold 6,479 ETH, incurring a total loss of $16.28 million.  

Still, many large investors view current levels as suitable for accumulation. Crypto Rover suggests this behavior reflects institutional interest. The Ethereum Foundation’s Trillion Dollar Security initiative also coincides with this period, bolstering market confidence.  

Ethereum continues to hold strong in technical analysis. Analysts interpret the recent dips as classic corrections seen before major rallies.  

DOES NOT CONSTITUTE INVESTMENT ADVICE  

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The post Will Ethereum Reach $4,000? Experts Are Focused on This Level!   appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Growing Synergy Between TradFi And Crypto

“There’s a strong bridge forming between traditional investments and the crypto sector,” said Chen. “Investors demand flexibility, and products that span both realms are highly attractive.” While some see TradFi as a safety net, Bitget views it as a launchpad for mass adoption.

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That synergy is exemplified by Kraken, which last week introduced access to 11,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs — a bold move toward TradFi after the S&P 500 saw a $5 trillion drop over just two days in early April.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Now Bridging Into Traditional Markets

Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, echoed this transition. On a recent earnings call, he emphasized their goal of “modernizing the global financial system” and “bringing more of the world’s GDP onto crypto rails.”

A Coinbase spokesperson added, “There’s an inherently symbiotic relationship between digital and traditional assets.” As regulatory clarity and institutional adoption grow, more global economic activity will flow into crypto.

While blockchain provides speed and transparency, TradFi offers trust, scale, and compliance. The convergence is inevitable and already well underway.

Even platforms like eToro and Robinhood now offer access to Bitcoin, ETH, and other digital assets, reflecting this paradigm shift in finance.

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The post Crypto Firms Target Wall Street! appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Accelerate!

On February 11, Bitcoin investors withdrew $56.70 million from spot ETFs. The outflows from some large funds, in particular, have raised concerns about the future of the market.

• Fidelity’s FBTC ETF saw a large outflow of -$43.60 million.
• BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, however, attempted to resist with an inflow of $23.80 million.
• Funds like BITB (-$9.30M), BTCO (-$9.50M), EZBC (-$11.00M), and BTCW (-$7.10M) also joined the outflow wave.

These developments could put pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Investors see the withdrawal of assets from large funds as an important signal that may determine the market’s direction.

Unexpected Capital Flow in Ethereum ETFs!

While Bitcoin ETFs experienced outflows, Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of $12.60 million. This entire capital flow was directed towards BlackRock’s ETHA ETF.

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The increased interest from Ethereum investors indicates growing confidence in ETH, leading to speculation that Ethereum may perform more strongly than Bitcoin in the coming days.

Current Status of Crypto ETFs: Bitcoin or Ethereum?

Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin ETFs have seen billions of dollars in inflows. However, the recent outflows have raised the question of whether a correction phase has begun in the market.

On the Ethereum front, the inflows into BlackRock’s ETH ETF suggest that ETH might gain stronger momentum compared to Bitcoin.

Market experts note that ETF inflows and outflows could have a significant impact on the prices of both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Therefore, investors should closely monitor ETF movements in the coming days.

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