Ahmet Bedirhan Arvas 
While following developments in the crypto world, sometimes “hope” and “caution” appear side by side. This week, we had exactly this duo in front of us. Vitalik Buterin from Ethereum drew attention to responsibility, while on the Bitcoin front, Tom Lee still keeps the $250,000 possibility on the table.
As Institutionalization Increases, Caution Should Also Rise
Vitalik Buterin says he supports ETH treasury strategies of publicly traded companies. This is because these companies make it possible for individuals to invest even if they do not want to hold tokens directly or have different financial circumstances. Treasury companies now hold around $11.8 billion worth of ETH; for example, BitMine is one of the biggest players with 833,100 ETH worth $3.2 billion in reserves.However, Buterin warns that this growth carries the risk of turning into an “over-leveraged game.” When prices drop, margin calls can trigger a chain of sales, leading to significant value losses and shaken confidence. In a possible scenario, this crazy cycle could cause declines exceeding 30%.
Ethereum is increasingly opening up to institutional players and indirect investment instruments, and this is a great development. Still, investors need to be very careful when using leverage. To manage risk, portfolio diversification, stop-loss strategies, and capital protection mechanisms should be kept in mind.
Bitcoin: Is $250,000 Still on the Table?
Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat, still says “maybe $250,000” for Bitcoin. In the Coin Stories podcast, he said “It should surpass 120K by the end of the year, 200K, maybe 250K.”
- Bitcoin has the potential to rise from the $120,000 range within the year to $200,000 and possibly $250,000.
- In the long run, Bitcoin could even surpass $1 million, in line with its position as “digital gold.”
- The basis of this prediction is the fact that demand clearly exceeds supply: with nearly 95% of the 19.87 million BTC mined, it could serve as leverage for new buyers for years.
- Additionally, institutional investment interest and large inflows into spot ETFs could create effects strong enough to push the four-year halving cycles into the background.
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According to Lee, the impact of past halving cycles is diminishing; now, the main factor driving the rise is institutional investor interest and capital inflows into spot ETFs. In his view, Bitcoin could eventually reach $1 million. Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, with about 95% already mined. However, there are nowhere near that many investors worldwide. Therefore, the demand potential is very high. Still, predictions range from 160K to 250K — showing how dynamic and uncertain the market really is.
| Topic | Opportunity | Risk / Caution Point |
|---|---|---|
| ETH Treasury | Institutional access, demand growth | Excessive leverage, chain selling and collapse |
| Bitcoin | Institutional investment, demand/supply imbalance | Volatility, uncertainty of different targets |
Institutions like Bernstein and Standard Chartered are more cautious, pointing to around $200,000. Others are more conservative, such as Markus Thielen from 10x Research, predicting $160,000.
- On the Ethereum side, while supporting the approach of treasury companies is promising, common sense and leverage management are essential.
- On the Bitcoin front, $250,000 is still on the table, but how realistic is this target? Uncertainty is high. As an investor, it’s best to diversify expectations and clearly define your risk tolerance.
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