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The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to start cutting its benchmark interest rate in September.
Speaking at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave the strongest indication yet that rate cuts are imminent.
Bitcoin rose above $63,000 on the news, with analysts expecting more gains once the Fed begins cutting rates.
The Impact of Rate Cuts on the Crypto Market
Leena ElDeeb, researcher at exchange-traded product issuer 21Shares, said that previous rate cuts have been positive for digital asset prices. ElDeeb said that investors who have access to cheaper loans are seeing this as an opportunity to invest in riskier asset classes. ElDeeb specifically highlighted an example of a rate cut at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic:
“In March 2020, when they cut interest rates by 150 basis points (bps) to almost zero, the total crypto market cap increased by about 450% towards the end of the year, and the price of Bitcoin increased by 200% during the same period.”
ElDeeb noted that past performances do not guarantee future results, and that the March 2020 rate cuts could provide a benchmark to compare the potential impact of the upcoming rate cut on crypto markets.
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Institutional Interest in Digital Asset Investment Vehicles Remains High
Despite the $528 million outflow from digital asset investment products in the week of August 3, institutional interest in digital asset investments remains high. This is confirmed by strong inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF and Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund of $20.3 million and $61.3 million, respectively.
This strong interest in digital asset investment vehicles is also supported by investment advisors increasing their exposure to Bitcoin ETFs in the second quarter of 2024.
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