Deniz 
Australia will revise its growth forecast for most of the major players globally, among them its leading trading partner, China, next month. The strategy was only described by Treasurer Jim Chalmers.For what reason, though? Troubles are about to come. Worries over the reign of inflation and failure to retain growth have been intensified, he also said, by happenings in the Middle East.
Revealing Australia’s Impressive Economic Achievements
Evidently, everybody is worried about the future of the world economy, as Chalmers conversed with influential people in Washington, DC, who are members of the G20, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Bank. Based on this, the Australian Treasury is revising its numbers to align with those of the US, UK, China, and India.
GDP growth rate predictions in the current year and for the foreseeable years are around 4%. Does that suit you? Not at all. This is their worst showing since the late 1970s, when they started to let their economy compete with others. That country, too, is not dancing. Their forecasted growth for 2024 is now an unimpressive 0.75 because people there decided to save for one year.
The big macros are not the only ones. In the four weeks before the major event, Chalmers made the revelation that Australia is on track for the second straight year of a budget surplus. As amazing as it sounds, their achievement is even more impressive when you think of all the obstacles that they have overcome.
A higher level of detail is achieved in the economic forecasts. However, the Reserve Bank of Australia expects that the Consumer Price Index will shift closer to its target range of 2-3% in the inflation report on Wednesday, for instance. As a result of the wild swings in pricing, which are now very significant in that they could indicate that they are stabilizing the situation.
Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Impact on the World
Two weeks ago, the Prime Minister lowered the gauge. “Strategic competition” is what he sees as the norm. He is disclosing the cost of investments being made by leading economies to their industrial potentials that are connected with national security. The message from Albanese was very clear: Be interested in the transformations in the economic sphere.
The indicator, which started a sharp fall in the mid-1990s, makes a clear forecast of a time when survival in economic terms ceases to exist.
Nor is the rate of fragmentation. Several factors have intensified pressure on international negotiations, which include the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S.-China trade war, Israel-Gaza friction, and Russia’s activities in Ukraine. In this world that is transforming from global handshakes to fortress building, governments and corporations are reviewing their strategies in light of the upheaval.
Lack of optimism is also noticed in the internal discussions of the IMF. This “geo-economic fragmentation” has been slowly brewing, as pointed out by Gita Gopinath from the International Monetary Fund in December. She warned that if current trends persist, a new Cold War might start.