Yahya 
After three days of flashing red, the Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator—which measures investor attitude phases—has turned to show optimistic circumstances. This shift corresponds with the current price decline of Bitcoin to levels not seen since February, which causes anxiety of a protracted slump.
Several Bitcoin on-chain cyclical indicators that were formerly at the borderline have now moved back to indicate a bull market, said CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju. “Bitcoin is still in a bull market” he said in an August 9 X post. Pseudonymous crypto trader PlanB, who also emphasized that the current decline offered just a temporary price reduction on Bitcoin, reiterated this view.
On August 5—a day known as “Crypto Black Monday“—the price of Bitcoin had dropped to $49,751. This represented its first plunge below $50,000 since February, which caused the Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator to exhibit negative signs for the first time since January 2023, just after the FTX crash. But Bitcoin has subsequently recovered, trading back over the crucial $60,000 mark at $60,732 at the time of publishing.
Analysts Divided on Bitcoin’s Future Price Action
Although some traders believe the recent price decline could have been a bear trap based on the fast rebound, others remain wary. Having dropped to a “Extreme Fear” score of 17 on August 6, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has subsequently recovered to a “Neutral” level of 48, therefore signaling a change in market mood.
Though the market cycle indicator shows positive indications, other observers think Bitcoin’s price may drop further more before the next bull run. Head of research Markus Thielen of Xx Research said on August 7 that when Bitcoin prices drop below the low $40,000s, the best moment to begin the next bull market.
In an August 6 study, Cathie Wood’s investment company Ark Invest also stressed in the most important price supports of Bitcoin: $52,000 and $46,000. Veteran trader Peter Brandt also said that the present fall in Bitcoin reminds one of the 2015–2017 halving bull market cycle, which was followed by a notable bull run.
Although the market cycle indicator shows a more positive picture, the divergent opinions among experts emphasize the uncertainty about the short-term price behavior of Bitcoin.
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