Yeliz Akmaca 
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to support economic growth. Markets are now eagerly awaiting the next Fed interest rate decisions. Projections show that rates could move to the 3.75–4.00% range in October 2025 and to 3.50–3.75% in December 2025.
On September 17, 2025, the Fed lowered its policy rate to the 4.00–4.25% range. Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted risks to inflation and employment, stressing the central bank’s commitment to independence.
Following the rate cut, the Dow Jones gained 0.6% to 46,018.32 points. The S&P 500 fell 0.1% to 6,600.35 points, while the Nasdaq rose slightly by 0.3%
Powell’s Remarks: Inflation and the Economy
Powell stated, “We remain committed to achieving our goals for the benefit of the American people.” He noted that economic growth is showing moderate momentum, but labor market risks are rising while inflation remains elevated.
He added that inflation has eased from its 2022 highs but tariff effects still need monitoring. On policy direction, Powell emphasized:
“The Fed will continue to act independently. We are strongly committed to that.”
“There was little support among members for a 50 bps cut.”
Powell stressed the Fed can act quickly if necessary, but sees no immediate need for aggressive rate moves. According to Fed projections, inflation expectations align with the 2% target next year, and tariff-related price pressures should be temporary. The labor market slowdown and weaker demand suggest a cautious pace ahead.
2025 Fed Rate Decision Calendar
- September 2025: Rate cut to 4.00–4.25%
- October 29, 2025: Next decision
- December 10, 2025: Final decision of the year
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