Since the October peak, the ongoing decline has wiped approximately $1.2 trillion from the total market value, with losses exceeding 30% in the past seven days. However, this pullback cannot be attributed to a single headline.

Whales and Institutional Selling Pressure

The first breakdown comes from large wallets. Major investors and large wallets hold 68% of BTC supply. In just the past eight days, whale wallets have sold 81,068 BTC. Small wallets are buying, but the overall impact remains limited. Historically, this combination signals early stages of a bear market cycle.

Moreover, it’s not only investors—miners have also joined the selling side. Mining companies like Marathon Digital have transferred millions of BTC to exchanges. MARA and RIOT shares fell 14–18%, increasing selling pressure and straining market liquidity. These movements create a “death spiral” effect on investor psychology, also affecting gold, silver, and treasury assets.

Options and Expiry Dates

On February 6, more than 32,000 BTC options expired on Deribit. With a nominal value of $2.1 billion, this created significant volatility in the options market. Put option volume exceeded calls, increasing downside pressure; BTC’s implied volatility fell from 90 to 69 within hours.

But here’s the other side. The maximum drop price remained high at $80,000, signaling a potential short-term rebound. Investors are tracking macro indicators, ETF flows, and overall market sentiment, expecting BTC to consolidate between $65,000 and $70,000.

ETF Outflows and Market Perception

Another structural shift occurred on the ETF front. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw about $1.2 billion in net outflows over the last three trading days. An additional $434 million was withdrawn in just two days. BlackRock’s IBIT fund led with a $175 million outflow, while Fidelity, Grayscale, Bitwise, and Ark 21Shares moved in a similar direction.

Interestingly, IBIT trading volume hit a record 284 million shares on the same day, representing over $10 billion in nominal value. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas described this volume as “extremely brutal” as the price dropped 13%.

The charts show the decline. But seeing red on screen is another story.

At the same time, declines in tech stocks and rising AI investments affected investor psychology. Amazon, Qualcomm, and other giants increased spending, while software and semiconductor sectors faced heightened risks.

Additionally, Trump’s harsh reaction to the potential Fed chair appointment of Kevin Warsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s statement, “We do not have the authority to rescue Bitcoin,” reinforced caution among institutional investors.

In Summary: Bitcoin’s sharp decline is not the result of a single event. Whale sales, options expiry, chain liquidations, ETF outflows, and weakness in tech stocks all played a role simultaneously.

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Last week, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a total net outflow of $1.1 billion. According to Farside Investors, this was the fourth-largest weekly outflow on record. The outflows contributed to a 9.9% drop in Bitcoin’s price. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $95,740.

According to Matrixport, this correction signals the emergence of a “mini” bear market for Bitcoin. Analysts note that ETF outflows, long-term investors reducing their positions, and macroeconomic uncertainty make upcoming Federal Reserve decisions a key factor in the market’s direction.

Matrixport stated in a Friday X post, “Our data showed a market losing momentum and lacking the catalysts needed for a sustained rally.”

The platform added, “With ETF flows weakening, experienced investors reducing exposure, and macro conditions offering no immediate catalyst, the path forward remains highly dependent on upcoming policy decisions from the Federal Reserve.”

Critical Levels and Macro Impacts on the BTC Market

The significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs indicate that institutional demand for BTC has slowed in 2025. This situation places the market at a critical juncture for investors. In the coming weeks, whether BTC maintains its support and resistance levels will largely depend on macroeconomic signals and central bank policies.

Meanwhile, spot Solana ETFs have continued to see positive inflows despite the broader market downturn. Since their launch on October 29, Solana ETFs have recorded 13 consecutive days of inflows, including $12 million on Friday. However, Solana’s price dropped 15% over the week. Similarly, Ether ETFs recorded a $177 million outflow on Friday, marking the fourth consecutive day of negative performance, with Ether’s price declining 11% weekly.

Institutional Demand and Investor Behavior

In 2025, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and institutional investments have driven the majority of BTC demand. ETF outflows indicate a loss of short-term momentum and a cautious approach from investors. Analysts predict that investors will reassess their positions and closely monitor whether BTC can gain strength from macro catalysts.

Investors should focus on key technical levels and Federal Reserve policies. The cryptocurrency market is currently at a pivotal point, and upcoming moves will be decisive for both short- and long-term trends.

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Current Prices of Zcash, Plasma, and Aster 

In the last 24 hours, coin prices have experienced notable changes. Zcash (ZEC) stood out with a 39.3% increase. Plasma (XPL) dropped by 2.7%, while Aster (ASTER) declined by 3.6%. 

Other notable trending cryptocurrency include: 

• Pump.fun (PUMP) rose 21.8% in the last 24 hours. 
• OpenVPP (OVPP) gained 16.5%. 
• AtomOne (ATONE) was the star of the day, surging 306.8%, marking over 1840% weekly growth. 
• Hyperliquid (HYPE) rose 5.8%, notable for its high market cap. 
• Solana (SOL) increased 6.2%, with a $118B market value. 
• Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) climbed 11.5%, backed by strong social influence. 

Highest Market Cap Coins 

Among trending coins, high-cap projects also stood out. Bitcoin (BTC) traded at $116,545, up 3.2% daily. Solana (SOL) rose to $218.72 (+6.2%). XRP (XRP) reached $2.95 (+3.5%). Sui (SUI) and Hyperliquid (HYPE) also drew attention with their market caps. 

Market Analysis and Rising Coins 

Coins on the trending list are attracting investor interest. AtomOne (ATONE), with its high short-term performance, emerged as a top altcoin trend. Additionally, Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) gained 11.5%, standing out among socially influential coins. This market activity creates opportunities for investors seeking short-term gains. 

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• As of May 2025, the Bitcoin options market has reached $42.5 billion in open interest. 

Bitcoin (BTC) surpassed the $110,000 level in May 2025, reaching one of its all-time highs. According to Glassnode data, the “Accumulation Trend Score” metric rose to 1.0. This indicates that investors are in a buying trend. Both large and small wallet groups are accumulating BTC. This metric evaluates purchases within the last 15 days, excluding exchange and miner wallets. 

The rise in Bitcoin’s price is also supported by stablecoin regulations in the U.S. and institutional purchases. For example, MicroStrategy’s $765 million BTC investment shows continued institutional interest. Additionally, global economic uncertainties and inflation concerns are driving investors toward Bitcoin. In May, inflows to spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) accelerated. This week, there was over $2.5 billion in fund flows in markets where traders use excessive leverage. This development demonstrates institutional investors’ interest in Bitcoin while also providing balance against market volatility. 

According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) surpassed $80 billion as of May 23. This represents about a 30% increase since early May. This increase indicates that derivative traders are taking positions with leverage, expecting BTC prices to rise further. 

According to Deribit data, open interest in the Bitcoin options market reached $42.5 billion as of May 22. This is a record high for the options market. The highest open interests are in the call options expiring on June 27 with strike prices of $110,000, $120,000, and $300,000. The upward expectation is clear in the options markets as well. Demand for June call options at $200,000 and $300,000 strike prices is notable. This indicates that traders expect further BTC price increases. 

May Bitcoin options expire on May 30, while June options expire on June 27. On these dates, contracts will close, increasing market volume and price volatility. 

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE  

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What’s the Situation with Futures and Long/Short Ratio? 

Open interest in Bitcoin futures markets hit a record high, reaching a total of $72 billion. This indicates strong participation from major investors. Notably, open interest on CME increased to $16.9 billion.  Another notable metric is the long/short ratio. According to Coinalyze data, as of May 21, 2025, this ratio is 0.85, meaning 45.84% of investors hold long positions while 54.16% hold short positions. This suggests a cautious short-term outlook, though the ratio can shift rapidly during sudden price surges. 

Where Are the Whale Wallets Moving? 

Large investors known as whales have made significant moves recently. A wallet named “bc1qc” bought 4,611 BTC in one week at an average price of $103,075, amounting to roughly $475 million. This wallet’s total holdings reached 22,223 Bitcoin, ranking it among the top 40 Bitcoin holders. Whale activity reflects strong investor confidence. Another whale opened a 40x leveraged long position worth $838 million, earning $22 million in profit. The liquidation price for this position is $100,000, indicating the investor’s confidence that prices won’t drop below this level. 

Stablecoin Volume Rising, Supported by Macroeconomics 

The combined market cap of stablecoins like USDT and USDC reached $151 billion, the highest ever recorded. Considering new capital inflows, this is a significant metric. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which was around 109 in January 2025, dropped 9% to 99.60, showing investors are turning to alternative assets instead of the dollar. 

Meanwhile, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields have fallen from 4.8% to 4.52%, boosting interest in riskier assets. Market data suggests BTC could challenge the $110,000 level. Record open interest in futures and large whale purchases support this outlook. The growing stablecoin market and falling yields add further backing. 

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A whale that held 10,000 Ether for nearly 900 days has sold all of its holdings, potentially missing out on a maximum profit of $27.6 million. This amount was during the period when ETH exceeded $4,000.

On April 8, the blockchain analysis platform Lookonchain announced on X platform that this whale purchased a total of 10,000 ETH for about $13 million in October and November 2022, with an average purchase price of around $1,295.

Lookonchain stated, “Despite ETH surpassing $4,000, the whale did not sell. However, by selling today, it made a profit of $2.75 million, whereas at its peak, this profit could have reached $27.6 million.”

At the time of the sale, the price of ETH was around $1,578. According to CoinGecko data, ETH had reached a high of $4,015 on December 9 during the period when the whale held its ETH.

Currently, the price of ETH is around $1,426, and it has depreciated by 24% in the last seven days. The sharp decline is believed to be significantly impacted by the global trade tariffs announced during the Trump administration.

Did World Liberty Financial Sell ETH?

In another post on April 9, Lookonchain shared on X that a wallet potentially associated with World Liberty Financial, a project backed by Donald Trump, might have also sold Ether.

According to claims, this wallet sold 5,471 ETH, worth approximately $8.01 million, at a price of $1,465. Before this sale, the wallet contained a total of 67,498 Ether, which had been purchased at an average price of $3,259.

Other Whales Taking Action in the Market

During the sharp downturn in the crypto market, some investors made purchases while several large whales also executed noteworthy transactions.

On April 7, an unidentified investor had to add 10,000 ETH (worth around $14.5 million) to their position in order to prevent the 220,000 ETH (around $300 million) position from being liquidated.

However, not all investors were so fortunate. On April 6, a 67,570 ETH (approximately $106 million) position on the decentralized finance platform Sky was liquidated, leading to a significant loss for the investor.

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Nillion (NIL) Will Be Available on Multiple Binance Products

According to Binance’s official statement, Nillion (NIL) will be accessible across a variety of Binance investment services starting from March 24, 2025. The token will be supported on Binance Simple Earn, Buy Crypto, Binance Convert, Binance Margin, Binance Auto-Invest, and Binance Futures platforms. This comprehensive integration will make NIL more accessible to a wider range of users.

Click to Trade on Binance Futures (Derivatives) with a 10% Discount!

From March 24, 2025, at 13:00 (UTC), NIL will be available as a flexible product on Binance Simple Earn. Users will be able to subscribe and earn rewards from their NIL holdings. Additionally, beginning March 25, 2025, at 10:00 (UTC), Binance Auto-Invest will allow users to automatically purchase NIL, helping them grow their portfolio through a disciplined investment approach.

NIL will also be listed on Binance Buy Crypto, where users can purchase the token using payment methods such as VISA, MasterCard, Google Pay, and Apple Pay. Once listed on Binance Spot, NIL will become available for zero-fee trading against BTC, USDT, and other supported assets through Binance Convert.

Margin Trading and Futures Contracts Offer More Flexibility

Binance Margin will support NIL as a borrowable asset on both Cross and Isolated Margin. Trading pairs such as NIL/USDT and NIL/USDC will be introduced, providing traders with more flexibility and leverage opportunities. Furthermore, Binance Futures will launch the USDⓈ-M NIL Perpetual Contract on March 24, 2025, at 13:00 (UTC). Traders will be able to utilize up to 75x leverage, allowing for both long and short positions on NIL.

Binance reminds users that newly listed tokens often exhibit high volatility. Traders are encouraged to use appropriate risk management strategies. NIL will also be supported under Binance’s Multi-Assets Mode, enabling users to use BTC and other assets as collateral for futures trading.

The listing of Nillion (NIL) on Binance marks a significant milestone for the project. Investor interest is growing rapidly, and market participants are closely watching NIL’s price movements following its launch on Binance platforms.

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A Milestone Beyond 500,000 BTC

According to the press release, Strategy acquired the 6,911 BTC at an average price of $84,529 per coin. With this latest purchase, the company’s total Bitcoin investment has reached $33.7 billion, averaging $66,608 per BTC.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Strategy continues to hold the record as the public company with the largest Bitcoin holdings. Its current stash of 506,137 BTC represents more than 2% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply. The company has also reported a 7.7% year-to-date return on its Bitcoin investments.

Recent Funding to Fuel More BTC Purchases

Just days prior to this acquisition, Strategy announced that it had raised $722 million, with a significant portion earmarked for further Bitcoin purchases. The firm also revealed its plans to raise up to $21 billion to accelerate its Bitcoin treasury strategy, cementing its position as a dominant force in institutional Bitcoin adoption.

Investors and analysts alike are closely watching Strategy’s aggressive moves in the market, speculating on how its vast Bitcoin holdings could shape future trends.

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Currently, CAKE is trading around $1.60, positioned close to its descending trend line. If CAKE manages to break above this trend and pushes past the $1.68 resistance level, a strong upward move could be initiated. Breaking through $1.68 would set the next target at $1.80, a level that has previously acted as a significant resistance. Should CAKE sustain a move above $1.80, the next upside target would be in the $2.00 range, potentially triggering further bullish momentum.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

On the other hand, failure to break the descending trend and renewed selling pressure could expose CAKE to downside risks. The first key support level to watch is at $1.56. If this level fails to hold, the price could retreat toward the next major support zone at $1.45. The $1.45 area is expected to attract buyers and may act as a critical defense level.

At this stage, CAKE presents potential opportunities for short-term traders. Both bullish and bearish scenarios hinge on how the price behaves at these critical zones. Investors are advised to closely monitor these support and resistance areas before making trading decisions.

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After the increase, with the 2.97$ level being broken, TIA gained momentum, and investors are now focusing on targeting the 3.31$ level. This makes the potential for TIA to climb to new highs even more attractive. However, the most important factor to consider at the current levels is the direction of TIA‘s price movements. If the rising trend continues and support levels are maintained, higher levels like 3.70$ could be targeted.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

If the Rising Trend Is Gained, 3.70$ Could Be Targeted!

If TIA manages to close above the current rising trend, 3.70$ will be the next target level. Reaching this level could provide a significant opportunity for TIA investors. However, investors should stay cautious and manage their risks by considering current market conditions. The strong movements seen in technical analysis indicate that TIA has the potential to continue its rise. On the other hand, it is important to be prepared for short-term fluctuations and implement risk management strategies, as this will help investors navigate the volatility in the market.

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