Yeliz Akmaca 
Solana-based memecoin PUNCH has gained over 80,000% since its launch earlier this month. The attention is massive—almost the entire ecosystem is talking about it. Its market cap is now over $30 million, but some structural risks cannot be ignored. Momentum is very high. Yet no one can say for sure how long it will last. However, such growth also brings serious structural risks and operational questions flagged by analysts.
What Is PUNCH Token?
PUNCH is inspired by a baby Japanese macaque named Punch and his plush companion. The token is community-driven, focused on emotion, comfort, and companionship.
According to the website:
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Total supply 1 billion tokens
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Liquidity locked and burned
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Ownership renounced
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0% tax
One analyst said, “PUNCH could be the MOODENG of 2026.” But that’s just speculation.
PUNCH Reaches $30 Million Market Cap
Data from GeckoTerminal shows the token started trading this month. The story spread rapidly on social media. In the past week alone, it surged 22,290.8%.
On CoinGecko, it became the top daily gainer (%260 increase) and the third most trending crypto.
On-chain analysts argue that early distributions from the creator wallet indicate a coordinated internal control rather than organic distribution.
Stalkchain data shows one wallet accumulated $226,000 worth of PUNCH. Nansen reports that public figure holdings increased 89.69% in the past 7 days, while whale holdings declined—curious.
Red Flags and Warnings
Analysts are cautious. StarPlatinum flagged signs of internal control.
On X, they claimed the creator wallet distributed 100 billion PUNCH tokens (10% of total supply).
Some tokens went through an intermediary wallet to major holders:
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Hbx5PturLVp9F7YY… → 35B (%3.5)
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H8GLvJ89DwoeBTY… → 25.1B (%2.5)
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DXU65912VjiPUhK… → 17.5B (%1.75)
According to reports, these three wallets together hold roughly 7.75% of total supply, and all allocations can be traced back to the initial creator distribution. StarPlatinum commented: “Controlled memecoins are structured like this. Be careful.”
Some micro details remain unclear. For example, the intermediary wallet’s exact movements are not fully transparent. No one knows when these tokens will be sold.
Further Structural Signals
Analyst White Whale noted that the project’s “Bubble Map” data appears too tidy for a natural distribution. The millimetric symmetry in liquidity pool support levels suggests algorithmic intervention rather than organic demand. Investors should carefully analyze whether this technical “perfection” could be a manipulation tool.
White Whale spotted two red flags:
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Charts are too orderly. Real-life markets are messy.
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Liquidity distribution seems unnatural. Support and resistance levels may indicate intervention via platforms like Meteora.
White Whale is not accusing the team, but warns: “We never know when the behind-the-scenes move will happen.”
High Volatility, Exercise Caution
Rapid growth exists. Viral momentum exists. But prices can drop suddenly. Structural risks and concentrated holdings may trigger abrupt moves.
Takeaways for traders: momentum is important, but don’t ignore red flags.
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Market is somewhat cautious.
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Some trading desks are almost inactive.
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Direction is uncertain.
Especially on the options side, traders are waiting. Single-line paragraphs exist. Some desks barely move.
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