Declaring its widely awaited interest rate drop today, the Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate to 5.00%. This is the first rate drop since March 2020 and results from ongoing inflation moderation. From the 5.25% to 5.5% range, the new rate marks a decline; this level had been in place since last July and was the highest level since January 2001.
Market Reactions and Expectations
Market forecasts were divided between a 25 to 50 basis point drop prior to the decision, and the Fed finally decided on a cut bringing rates down to the 5.00% level. The action marks a change in monetary policy as inflationary pressures relax, allowing the Fed to reduce the forceful rate increases of the previous year.
Housing and Mortgages
Tightly correlated with government bond yields, mortgage rates themselves are formed by Fed policy and will exhibit one of the most direct effects of the rate drop. Previously falling to a 19-month low of 6.2% last week, mortgage rates are probably going to keep dropping, which would make house loans ever more cheaply priced for buyers.
Auto Loans and Consumer Debt
Reduced interest rates will also make borrowing less expensive for consumers, especially for auto loans, whose rates have surged to their most expensive levels since 2001. Along with rates for credit card debt and variable-rate student loans, current rates for new car loans—which had risen to roughly 8.7%—should drop.
Job Market Effects
The Fed’s rate drop should also help companies since reduced borrowing rates make financing more available. Companies using less expensive loans to grow operations and enhance their financial situation could result in more hiring.
Stocks Poised to Benefit
For stock markets, rate cuts usually help since reduced government bond rates inspire investors to hunt higher returns in shares. Based on historical data, this trend is supported by the U.S. benchmark S&P 500 index rising 86% of the time in the 12 months following the first rate reduction of a cycle, Charles Schwab reports.
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