Orhan 
Jeff Park, Head of Bitwise Alpha Strategies, predicts that Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential elections could raise the price of Bitcoin to $92,000. In a post on the X platform on October 22, Park stated that “merger arb-style probability calculations” indicate that Bitcoin could see a significant rally with Trump’s victory.
Park’s bullish forecast aligns with analysts who believe that Trump’s win could rapidly increase the prices of crypto assets. Crypto millionaire Erik Finman also mentioned to Cointelegraph that a Trump victory could push Bitcoin to the $100,000 level. Finman stated, “Trump’s policies will ignite the crypto market and provide substantial growth overall.”
Trump has placed significant emphasis on crypto-friendly policies in his 2024 presidential campaign, viewing this stance as a move to attract crypto voters who focus on a single political issue. Additionally, he announced that if elected, his first action would be to dismiss Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler.
However, not everyone agrees that Trump’s victory will yield long-term gains for the crypto markets. Billionaire investor Mark Cuban noted that the crypto markets might experience a rise for a few weeks following Trump’s win, only to decline afterward. Cuban argues that some of Trump’s economic policies, particularly those that trigger inflation, such as import tariffs, could negatively impact Bitcoin’s long-term price movements.
Current national polls show Harris leading Trump by 1.8 points. However, calculations made on decentralized betting platforms like Polymarket suggest signals of a potential rise in Bitcoin linked to Trump’s winning chances. Jeff Park stated, “I predict that a Trump victory could bring Bitcoin to around $92,000.”
Technical Analysis
As Bitcoin rebounds from 10-day lows, critical support levels are forming for investors. The $65,000 level is particularly significant due to its position within the daily liquidation zone and its historical importance as a peak. Market experts suggest that liquidity below this level could be targeted, making it a potential breaking point for Bitcoin.
Looking at 6-month charts, billions in liquidations have accumulated above the $70,000 mark, indicating that upward price movement could accelerate in the coming days. If Bitcoin can maintain above $65,000 and break through $70,000, significant liquidity could be released, potentially driving prices even higher.
In this context, the $65,000 and $70,000 levels are crucial for Bitcoin’s short- and medium-term performance. Investors should closely monitor these levels and assess market movements accordingly.
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