Analyzers claim that the way bitcoin and ether options are distributed points to a possible summer dip in trading activity in the cryptocurrency market.
“We are in for a tranquil summer, with a lower volatility environment and no catalyst to propel the market either way,” QCP Capital analysts said in a Friday research report.
Traders should consider accumulation as a tactic in anticipation of “the long, quiet summer, especially for ether,” QCP Capital stated.
“With Gensler expecting the spot ether exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval to happen late summer,” they also projected that there would not be any immediate notable price fluctuations for ether in July.
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According to the QCP research, traders are anticipating rather more price action from the second-biggest digital asset by market capitalization in the next few months. But the study also noted that any further volatility premiums for ether over bitcoin might drop as spot ether ETF S-1 Form approval affects market pricing.
“Currently, ether implied volatility is trading at a 10 vol premium to bitcoin, and we expect the spread to narrow with ether overwriters returning as we wait in anticipation of an S-1 Form approval late summer,” the QCP Capital research noted.
Datas shows that the current levels of implied volatility for at-money (ATM) ether options have stayed high since the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved spot ether ETFs on Thursday, May 23. This higher implied volatility in ether options observation corresponds with this. This is especially true for ATM ether options with expirations at August’s end and beyond.