Yigit Taha OZTURK 
Bitcoin (BTC) kicks off the new week with volatility after closing last week above $100,000 for the first time ever. However, the milestone was short-lived as the price fell back below $99,000. Analysts point to a $10,000 downside wick from last week that may need to be filled.
Short-Term Bitcoin Price Movements
On December 8, Bitcoin saw a last-minute surge but failed to break through the $101,000 resistance, leaving the price trading at $98,613. Analyst CrypNuevo highlights the wick at $92,000, formed during a liquidation cascade on December 5, stating a 96% likelihood that it will be filled. This suggests potential short-term weakness in the market.
CPI Data and Fed Decision Loom Large
This week’s focus in the U.S. will be the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on December 18. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability of a 0.25% rate cut, according to CME Group data. However, rising unemployment and inflation raise concerns about stagflation, complicating the Fed’s path forward.
China announced plans to loosen its fiscal policies starting in 2025, marking the first such shift since 2010. Analysts anticipate that this could inject liquidity into global markets, potentially benefiting crypto assets. However, some experts warn that this liquidity might flow into bonds instead of risk assets like Bitcoin.
Tech giant Microsoft is set to vote this week on whether to add Bitcoin to its balance sheet. MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor pitched the idea to Microsoft’s board, emphasizing Bitcoin as the “highest-performing uncorrelated asset.” Meanwhile, rumors suggest that Amazon might also consider creating a Bitcoin treasury, sparking further speculation about corporate Bitcoin adoption.
Bitcoin Faces Consolidation Challenges
Despite recent all-time highs, analysts foresee 110,000 and 120,000 as significant resistance levels in the near term. These levels correspond to key profitability thresholds for Bitcoin investors, making them potential areas for deeper consolidation.
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